Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.027830 0.030461 0.033066 0.035834 0.038686 0.041535 0.044591
2025-01-12 0.022204 0.026403 0.030683 0.035344 0.040254 0.045251 0.050704
2025-01-19 0.017545 0.022660 0.028018 0.033981 0.040375 0.046980 0.054275
2025-01-26 0.015484 0.021384 0.027696 0.034832 0.042578 0.050657 0.059652
2025-02-02 0.013319 0.019760 0.026804 0.034890 0.043770 0.053110 0.063581
2025-02-09 0.010921 0.017664 0.025229 0.034056 0.043865 0.054272 0.066019
2025-02-16 0.009504 0.016586 0.024701 0.034297 0.045055 0.056544 0.069574
2025-02-23 0.008080 0.015379 0.023941 0.034203 0.045812 0.058286 0.072500
2025-03-02 0.006716 0.014129 0.023054 0.033900 0.046280 0.059664 0.074982
2025-03-09 0.005593 0.013089 0.022352 0.033759 0.046884 0.061151 0.077545
2025-03-16 0.004320 0.011720 0.021179 0.033014 0.046763 0.061799 0.079152
2025-03-23 0.003548 0.010967 0.020720 0.033072 0.047523 0.063397 0.081774
2025-03-30 0.002544 0.009840 0.019862 0.032782 0.048045 0.064913 0.084522
2025-04-06 0.001578 0.008596 0.018820 0.032278 0.048352 0.066234 0.087116
2025-04-13 0.000627 0.006982 0.017166 0.030958 0.047662 0.066397 0.088395
2025-04-20 0.000370 0.006672 0.017263 0.031778 0.049458 0.069351 0.092757
2025-04-27 0.000087 0.005988 0.016778 0.031835 0.050325 0.071226 0.095891
2025-05-04 NaN 0.004929 0.015653 0.031030 0.050133 0.071863 0.097611
2025-05-11 NaN 0.004451 0.015357 0.031262 0.051159 0.073876 0.100855
2025-05-18 NaN 0.003864 0.014835 0.031171 0.051775 0.075398 0.103529
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003240 0.014184 0.030879 0.052124 0.076595 0.105817
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002733 0.013670 0.030742 0.052644 0.077972 0.108293
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002059 0.012754 0.030024 0.052426 0.078475 0.109761